Saturday, November 17, 2012

Michael Hathman Explains Texas Going Blue

Is it really the news of the new news that Texas is "changing" - Really?

Texas may be seeing their State become a little more Blue in 2014, 2016 and 2020 elections.  Why?  It's called changing demographics and an ever increasing "minority" that will soon become the "majority" of the nation's racial makeup.

The United States has always been a "melting pot" of all people from all nationalities from around the planet.  As Americans, at least the majority, we see our diversity as a powerful benefit and strength that lends to our marvelous heritage and pluralistic society.

Some State, like Texas - such as California and Florida - have growing Hispanic populations and these people tend to vote - in the majority - as Democrats and Moderates.  That's bad news for the Republican party.  Or is it?  Well, that depends on how much the Republicans want to win elections.  In order to win elections, a party must try to win more votes from more voters than any other opposition party or candidate.

As of late, the voter suppression techniques have apparently backfired against Republicans who are over confident that this could help win the election.  Apparently, the electorate got wind of these suppression campaigns and it angered AND mobilized a far greater opposition element which put President Obama back into office with a whole slew of other Democratic candidates who were outspoken and verbally boisterous about these undertakings.  In fact, MSNBC News regularly reported on the matter to the public and these methods ended up costing the Republican Party a lot of votes and rallied those voters that were being "targeted" for these voter disenfranchisement campaigns.  Most of these voter disenfranchisement campaigns have been targeted specifically in terms of minority make up which includes minorities and young voters.

Texas accounts for 34 votes of the Electoral College.  This is one of the biggest "prize" States that count for the Presidency of the United States.

According to the Hoover Organization:

According to the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2010 results, the nation’s share of the non-Hispanic white population declined from 69.1 percent in 2000 to a present 63.7 percent in 2010, with America’s minority population rising from 30.9 percent in 2000 to 36.3 percent in 2010.  Twelve of the nation’s 50 states have a minority population exceeding 40 percent—triple the number of such states in 2000. Four states—California, Texas, New Mexico and Hawaii—now claim “majority-minority” status.

The reason for this population shift is Latino-Americans, who now are one-sixth (50.5 million) of the national population, compared to one-eighth (35.3 million) a decade ago.

This political and demographic phenomenon is not limited to America’s border states, with their pre-existing Latino populations. Latinos represented a majority of the population growth in 18 states. They accounted for at least 40 percent of the population growth in seven other states, and at least 30 percent of the population growth in another five states.

- End Source -

The rising tide of Hispanic voters seems to becoming to fruition.  However, if the Hispanic voters could be even more mobilized, the Democratic Party could see a huge domination for years, if not decades to come.  While Democrats knew years ago that the minority would eventually become the majority, hanging onto this voter block is a key strategy to winning elections - not just the White House but also in the Congress and Supreme Court.

If the Republicans care about winning elections, strategy will need to change.  Philosophical ideas that are unchangeable and unmovable do not win elections - and neither does belittling others who happen to disagree with Republican ideas.  Relationships (including these at the Federal and State level) are based on give-and-take and compromise.  If parties aren't willing to compromise, they may end up looking unfavorable to an electorate that is already angry about work not getting done and putting the economy on a better faster track to full recovery.  Conciliatory gestures and a more friendly and willing ability to "wheel-and-deal" is what it is going to take to win voters and get things done with other Congressional members.

Regardless of the politics, the minority numbers will continue to grow at a strong and steady rate for years to come.  If any party wants to win elections, the needs of the majority is going to have to be accepted and respected.

Reporting for News Now,
Michael Hathman

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